LiuKK
Jan 1, 2018
一个简单的数学问题
有这样一段代码,求返回值的期望值:
import numpy as np
def RB():
S = 0.0
while S<=1:
S += np.random.rand()
return S
蒙特卡洛模拟的方法
np.mean([RB() for i in range(10000)])
1.3580820141627414
可以看到模拟一万次的结果,S的期望值大概是1.358,那么怎么求出它具体是多少呢?(求出解析解)
np.exp(1)/2
1.3591409142295225
随机过程的方法

In probability theory, optional stopping theorem (or Doob’s optional sampling theorem) says that, under certain conditions, the expected value of a martingale at a stopping time is equal to the expected value of its initial value.

wald’s equation
